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Evidence

The record,
method attached.

Historical MetaTrader 5 backtests for each product, with the test method, risk and limits stated next to every number.

AgroAlgo Synthetics

Five H1 strategies for the separately licensed AgroAlgo Synthetics product, measured in the MetaTrader 5 Strategy Tester on Deriv history up to 11 October 2026.

Test method: MT5 Strategy Tester, Model 1 · 1-minute OHLC · Random delay · H1 · Deriv history to 11 October 2026 · $10k starting balance · 0.35% risk per trade · Training cutoffs 2021 (Boom, Crash 1000, Range Break) and 2025 (DEX), settings fitted to about mid-2026, fully out-of-sample from 11 August 2026

Each market, on its own record.

About AgroAlgo Synthetics

Range Break 100

Deriv synthetic index

Synthetic · H1
Profit Factor
1.324
Net Return
+796.6%
Max DD
6.8%
Trades
4,321
  • Model in-sample
  • Model out-of-sample
  • Fully out-of-sample
Historical MT5 Model 1 backtest · single $10k run

By period

PeriodTradesNetPFDD
Model in-sample6 May 2020 to 31 Dec 2020471+56.7%1.662.2%
Model out-of-sample, settings fitted1 Jan 2021 to 10 Aug 20263,734+429.4%1.306.8%
Fully out-of-sample11 Aug 2026 to 10 Oct 2026116+8.1%1.432.5%

Each period on a fresh $10,000 account, trades assigned by entry date, drawdown on closed balance. The fully out-of-sample period is short and is not proof.

Net profit
+$79,659
Win rate
34.6%
Equity drawdown (MT5 report)
7.31%
Trades per month
56.0
Measured
6 May 2020 to 10 Oct 2026
Risk per trade
0.35%

H1 · Model 1 · random delay

Crash 1000

Deriv synthetic index

Synthetic · H1
Profit Factor
1.140
Net Return
+362.1%
Max DD
9.3%
Trades
7,763
  • Model in-sample
  • Model out-of-sample
  • Fully out-of-sample
Historical MT5 Model 1 backtest · single $10k run

By period

PeriodTradesNetPFDD
Model in-sample14 May 2019 to 31 Dec 20201,691+64.8%1.226.5%
Model out-of-sample, settings fitted1 Jan 2021 to 10 Aug 20265,884+151.0%1.119.5%
Fully out-of-sample11 Aug 2026 to 10 Oct 2026188+11.7%1.472.7%

Each period on a fresh $10,000 account, trades assigned by entry date, drawdown on closed balance. The fully out-of-sample period is short and is not proof.

Net profit
+$36,206
Win rate
43.8%
Equity drawdown (MT5 report)
9.34%
Trades per month
87.3
Measured
14 May 2019 to 10 Oct 2026
Risk per trade
0.35%

H1 · Model 1 · random delay

Boom 1000

Deriv synthetic index

Synthetic · H1
Profit Factor
1.038
Net Return
+52.4%
Max DD
18.6%
Trades
6,896
  • Model in-sample
  • Model out-of-sample
  • Fully out-of-sample
Historical MT5 Model 1 backtest · single $10k run

By period

PeriodTradesNetPFDD
Model in-sample15 May 2019 to 31 Dec 20201,556+14.2%1.069.5%
Model out-of-sample, settings fitted1 Jan 2021 to 10 Aug 20265,193+40.7%1.0418.6%
Fully out-of-sample11 Aug 2026 to 10 Oct 2026147-5.1%0.786.5%

Each period on a fresh $10,000 account, trades assigned by entry date, drawdown on closed balance. The fully out-of-sample period is short and is not proof.

Net profit
+$5,245
Win rate
42.1%
Equity drawdown (MT5 report)
18.82%
Trades per month
77.6
Measured
15 May 2019 to 10 Oct 2026
Risk per trade
0.35%

H1 · Model 1 · random delay

DEX 1500 UP

Deriv synthetic index

Synthetic · H1
Profit Factor
1.452
Net Return
+227.2%
Max DD
4.5%
Trades
1,678
  • Model in-sample
  • Model out-of-sample
  • Fully out-of-sample
Historical MT5 Model 1 backtest · single $10k run

By period

PeriodTradesNetPFDD
Model in-sample21 Sep 2023 to 31 Dec 2024688+57.2%1.414.3%
Model out-of-sample, settings fitted1 Jan 2025 to 10 Aug 2026882+92.5%1.474.5%
Fully out-of-sample11 Aug 2026 to 10 Oct 2026108+8.1%1.463.2%

Each period on a fresh $10,000 account, trades assigned by entry date, drawdown on closed balance. The fully out-of-sample period is short and is not proof.

Net profit
+$22,720
Win rate
37.1%
Equity drawdown (MT5 report)
4.95%
Trades per month
45.8
Measured
21 Sep 2023 to 10 Oct 2026
Risk per trade
0.35%

H1 · Model 1 · random delay

DEX 600 UP

Deriv synthetic index

Synthetic · H1
Profit Factor
1.162
Net Return
+85.6%
Max DD
9.4%
Trades
2,657
  • Model in-sample
  • Model out-of-sample
  • Fully out-of-sample
Historical MT5 Model 1 backtest · single $10k run

By period

PeriodTradesNetPFDD
Model in-sample21 Sep 2023 to 31 Dec 20241,086+39.4%1.224.7%
Model out-of-sample, settings fitted1 Jan 2025 to 10 Aug 20261,424+30.8%1.149.4%
Fully out-of-sample11 Aug 2026 to 10 Oct 2026147+1.8%1.083.5%

Each period on a fresh $10,000 account, trades assigned by entry date, drawdown on closed balance. The fully out-of-sample period is short and is not proof.

Net profit
+$8,564
Win rate
44.0%
Equity drawdown (MT5 report)
9.52%
Trades per month
72.5
Measured
21 Sep 2023 to 10 Oct 2026
Risk per trade
0.35%

H1 · Model 1 · random delay

Evidence boundary: single tester runs on Deriv data, not live trading. Return figures compound over several years of high trade counts (roughly 40 to 90 trades a month), so they do not scale to a different account size or risk setting. Crash 300 is not supported by AgroAlgo 9.50 and is not shown. Historical results can differ materially from live execution and do not guarantee future results.